HR Edge

Projected HRs today

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across the board, summing each batter's model HR chance

HR Edge rankings

Model estimates, not locks. Probabilities are most useful for relative ranking; the Tracker tab is what tells you whether the numbers are actually calibrated. Bet within your means.

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Tracked

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Hit

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Hit rate

Calibration

Amber line = average predicted chance in that bucket. Green fill = how often they actually homered. When the green meets the amber, the model is honest.

Picks of the day

Best HR games

Games ranked by total expected home runs (each team's available hitters' chances summed). The bar shows each side's share.

Analytics

My bets

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Net units

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Record

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ROI